蓋然性
Gaizansei refers to the likelihood or probability of a specific event occurring or a proposition being true, based on objective evidence or logical reasoning. While similar to possibility, it specifically implies a high degree of probability that suggests something is 'probable' rather than just 'possible.'
Ejemplos
3 de 5明日の試合に勝つ蓋然性はかなり高いと言えるでしょう。
It can be said that the probability of winning tomorrow's match is quite high.
民事訴訟においては、証拠に基づいた高度の蓋然性が要求される。
In civil litigation, a high degree of probability based on evidence is required.
あいつが遅刻してくるのは、もはや蓋然性の問題じゃなくて必然だよ。
Him being late isn't a matter of probability anymore; it's an inevitability.
Familia de palabras
Truco para recordar
Think of the 'Gai' (蓋) as a 'lid.' If you see steam coming from a pot with a lid on it, the 'Gaizansei' (probability) that the water is boiling is very high, even if you can't see the water itself.
Quiz rápido
犯人が現場に戻ってくる（ ）は極めて低い。
¡Correcto!
La respuesta correcta es: 蓋然性
Ejemplos
明日の試合に勝つ蓋然性はかなり高いと言えるでしょう。
everydayIt can be said that the probability of winning tomorrow's match is quite high.
民事訴訟においては、証拠に基づいた高度の蓋然性が要求される。
formalIn civil litigation, a high degree of probability based on evidence is required.
あいつが遅刻してくるのは、もはや蓋然性の問題じゃなくて必然だよ。
informalHim being late isn't a matter of probability anymore; it's an inevitability.
本研究の目的は、この仮説が成立する蓋然性を検証することにある。
academicThe purpose of this study is to verify the probability of this hypothesis being correct.
新規事業が成功する蓋然性について、市場データをもとに分析しました。
businessWe analyzed the probability of the new business succeeding based on market data.
Familia de palabras
Colocaciones comunes
Frases Comunes
蓋然性の支配
the rule of probability
蓋然性が極めて高い
extremely high probability
蓋然性を肯定する
to affirm the probability
Se confunde a menudo con
Kanosei refers to the mere 'possibility' (0-100%), whereas Gaizansei emphasizes the 'probability' based on logic (usually implying likelihood).
Kakuritsu is a mathematical percentage/ratio, whereas Gaizansei is a qualitative logical likelihood.
Notas de uso
This word is extremely formal and is primarily found in academic papers, legal documents, and high-level journalism. Using it in casual conversation makes the speaker sound overly intellectual or pedantic.
Errores comunes
Learners often use this in place of the simpler 'kanōsei' (possibility) when talking about casual future events, which sounds unnatural.
Truco para recordar
Think of the 'Gai' (蓋) as a 'lid.' If you see steam coming from a pot with a lid on it, the 'Gaizansei' (probability) that the water is boiling is very high, even if you can't see the water itself.
Origen de la palabra
A Sino-Japanese compound created during the Meiji era to translate the Western philosophical concept of 'probability.'
Patrones gramaticales
Contexto cultural
In the Japanese legal system, the standard of proof in civil cases is often described using the term '高度の蓋然性' (high degree of probability).
Quiz rápido
犯人が現場に戻ってくる（ ）は極めて低い。
¡Correcto!
La respuesta correcta es: 蓋然性
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